Published on December 1, 2015
For more classes visit www.snaptutorial.com Learning Team Assignment: Learning Team Project Macroeconomic Forecast Component Include the following in this paper; Identify a list of five economic indicators which will be the subject of this paper. In addition to real GDP, the unemployment rate, and the inflation rate, focus on at least two of the following : A key interest rate (I suggest the 10-year Treasury rate) Housing starts Oil prices Auto sales Foreign exchange rate (either a trade weighted index or dollar versus yen, pound, Euro, Yuan, etc.) Look at the trends related to the historical relationship between the economy as measured by the economic indicators you identified above and the success of the firm that is the subject of your Learning Team project. A good measure of your firm's success is its historical stock prices. See the Resources on the Internet posted in the Week 1 Recommended Activities for sources of historical economic data. Some examples of sources for historical economic data include; Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Bureau of Economic Analysis, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Assemble two or three macroeconomic forecasts for each of the economic indicators that you chose to focus on in your paper. See the Resources on the Internet posted in the Week 1 Recommended Activities for sources of economic forecasts. Examples of sources for economic forecasts include the Congressional Budget Office, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Livingston Survey, the Mortgage Banker's Association, and the National Association of Homebuilders). The annual forecasts should be national and should be for the next two years. In a 1,400-2,450-word paper, based on the historical data you have identified and the forecasts you have selected, evaluate the relationship among the economic indicators and the success of your firm. In addition, compare and contrast the economic reasoning that would support any differences for the respective views prepared by the forecasters. In addition, explain the any differences among the selected forecasts. In addition, project the impact of global economic conditions regarding trade and trade related issues like the specialization of labor and capital in the production process and exchange rates. Analyze the implications of these forecasts on three operations or planning issues that your organization has identified or should identify for the next two years. Based on your work, recommend any changes to these operations or planning issues that would minimize potential risks or maximize opportunities. APA format is required. One note; these word count figures are meant to be a guideline, but feel free to exceed this if you find it is necessary to adequately provide relevant details and clarify important points. See my feedback on your Week 2 Learning Team Assignment, and the Week 4 Assignment for details that will help with this assignment. See also the Resources on the Internet posted in the Week 1 Recommended Activities for sources of historical economic data, and also sources for economic forecasts.