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ISSUE 10 | AUG 2014 Periodical 2 FLNG acilities are developed to unlock stranded gas reserves globally. This is particularly true or the many remote smaller gas felds (<2 TCF). In so doing, FLNG could potentially move the LNG market more toward a commodity market whereby the buyers become comortable that there will be a secure supply in a competitive environment without the need or long term contracts. Should this scenario evolve, the parallels drawn with the FPSO growth orecasts may evolve. But there are a number o other inuences yet to be played out that will impact the uture o FLNG. The ollowing questions highlight some o the uncertainties acing the uture o FLNG assuming the technology and saety risks do not occur. • Will the US government limit the export o LNG into Asia and i so to what extent? • Will suppliers be able to maintain the linkage o LNG price to oil price? • What inuence will Russian gas supply into China have on LNG demand? • What inuence o China developing its own unconventional gas reserves have on LNG demand? • What new players will enter the FLNG supply market with a dierent cost / risk profle to the early FLNG proponents and hence an appetite to develop smaller felds? It will be interesting in 10 years’ time to look back and note how FLNG has evolved and where it will be heading. Will it have grown signifcantly? Will the technology be considered well proven and will the LNG market be open to a growing number o acilities producing smaller volumes. As a minimum we hope FLNG does not ollow the FPSO industry with a litany o cost and schedule overruns despite more than 30 years’ industry experience in their development. FLNG Where will it lead to? Continued from Front Cover...
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